Winchester City 1-4 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.0pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.9pp
43%
Away Win
57%
-13.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.44/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.43
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +146%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Totton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
16.12.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 1-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 0-6 HT 0-3 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton swept aside Winchester City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Totton led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Winchester City and 3.50 for AFC Totton.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs AFC Totton?

Winchester City 1-4 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 26%, draw 31%, AFC Totton 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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