Stockton Town 1-1 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.31/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.43
+33% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town and Hebburn Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stockton Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town?

Stockton Town 1-1 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 48%, draw 22%, Hebburn Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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