AFC Sudbury 1-2 Bishops Stortford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bishops Stortford EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.64/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.40
-64% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Sudbury
1-2
AWAY Bishops Stortford
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Bishops Stortford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bishops Stortford nicked a narrow win over AFC Sudbury 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Sudbury at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AFC Sudbury had 55% of the ball to Bishops Stortford's 45%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Bishops Stortford?

AFC Sudbury 1-2 Bishops Stortford in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Bishops Stortford?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 53%, draw 25%, Bishops Stortford 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Sudbury), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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