21/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Harborough Town vs Barwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
27%
Draw
23%
23%
Away Win
19%
51%
Under 2.5
46%
49%
Over 2.5
54%
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
50%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Harborough Town v Barwell — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Harborough Town
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Barwell
EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
-5%
1.43/0.72
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.30/1.96
-32%
/
+52%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
-10%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
4
363 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.3
Harborough Town vs Barwell Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Harborough Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Barwell
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Harborough Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Harborough Town edged past Barwell 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Barwell?
Harborough Town 1-0 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Barwell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 50%, draw 27%, Barwell 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Harborough Town)
✓ Under 2.5
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
21 Apr 2025