Barwell 2-2 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.03
Over
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.71/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.84
+10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell and Harborough Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Harborough Town?

Barwell 2-2 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barwell 36%, draw 28%, Harborough Town 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barwell), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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