Plymouth Parkway 0-3 Frome Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over Pick
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
33%
4-5
22%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Frome Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.05/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.82
+29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +87%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Frome Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.12.2024 Frome Town Frome Town 5-0 HT 2-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
19.09.2023 Frome Town Frome Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway FAK
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frome Town ran out comfortable winners over Plymouth Parkway 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Parkway at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Frome Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 3.50 for Frome Town.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town?

Plymouth Parkway 0-3 Frome Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Frome Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 49%, draw 23%, Frome Town 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Plymouth Parkway), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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