Frome Town 5-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.18
Over
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.7pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frome Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 39%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.06/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.67
-32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frome Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2023 Frome Town Frome Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway FAK
POST-MATCH Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frome Town cruised past Plymouth Parkway 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Frome Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Frome Town 5-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frome Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frome Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Frome Town 40%, draw 26%, Plymouth Parkway 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frome Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frome Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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