Spalding United 5-0 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.31/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.54
-19% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stamford
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.12.2024 Stamford Stamford 1-1 HT 1-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United swept aside Stamford 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Stamford?

Spalding United 5-0 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 46%, draw 25%, Stamford 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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