Stamford 1-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

Stamford
1-1 HT 1-0
Spalding United
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Stamford vs Spalding United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stamford v Spalding United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.97/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.66
+13% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford and Spalding United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stamford at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Spalding United?

Stamford 1-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stamford 46%, draw 26%, Spalding United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stamford), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stamford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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