Swindon Supermarine 1-3 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
31%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
33%
+12.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
45%
-13.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.68/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.87
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gloucester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.12.2024 Gloucester City Gloucester City 3-1 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City saw off Swindon Supermarine 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Supermarine at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Gloucester City?

Swindon Supermarine 1-3 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 45%, draw 23%, Gloucester City 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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