Gloucester City 3-1 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over Pick
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.17/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.21
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City saw off Swindon Supermarine 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gloucester City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Swindon Supermarine?

Gloucester City 3-1 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 55%, draw 23%, Swindon Supermarine 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gloucester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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