Muharraq 2-0 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+12.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.26/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.40
+23% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
14.05.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
24.12.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
26.02.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
21.11.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
06.09.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq got the better of Al Najma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Muharraq and 0.50 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Najma?

Muharraq 2-0 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 49%, draw 25%, Al Najma 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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