Al Shabab Manama 0-1 Bahrain SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 29% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.01/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
-34% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bahrain SC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
08.03.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
05.10.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0-1
AWAY Bahrain SC
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Bahrain SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahrain SC edged past Al Shabab Manama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Manama at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 63% of the ball to Bahrain SC's 37%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 1.67 for Bahrain SC.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Bahrain SC?

Al Shabab Manama 0-1 Bahrain SC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Bahrain SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 44%, draw 25%, Bahrain SC 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5
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