Naft Maysan 0-1 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.19/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-5% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Maysan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Diala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.02.2025 Diala Diala 3-1 HT 3-1 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala nicked a narrow win over Naft Maysan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Maysan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Diala?

Naft Maysan 0-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 44%, draw 30%, Diala 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Maysan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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