Union Magdalena 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Apr 2025

Union Magdalena
1-1 HT 0-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Union Magdalena vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.52
Over
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No Pick
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Magdalena v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.06
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.3 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Union Magdalena vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
342 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.05.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
13.08.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
16.02.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
24.10.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
03.05.2019 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Union Magdalena 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
1-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.44 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena and Atletico Bucaramanga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 49% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 51%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.44 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.83 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Union Magdalena 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 40%, draw 28%, Atletico Bucaramanga 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Magdalena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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