Asyut Petroleum 2-1 Tanta FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.33
No
65%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
39%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
37%
Draw
34%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
39%
-3.5pp
65%
BTTS No
61%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanta FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.69/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.82
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asyut Petroleum
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tanta FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.12.2024 Tanta FC Tanta FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
15.01.2024 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum 0-0 HT 0-0 Tanta FC Tanta FC MSR2
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Tanta FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum squeezed past Tanta FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 37% / 31%) promised a tight game; Asyut Petroleum found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Asyut Petroleum had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asyut Petroleum and 0.00 for Tanta FC.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Tanta FC?

Asyut Petroleum 2-1 Tanta FC in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Tanta FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 33%, draw 37%, Tanta FC 31%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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