Suez 1-0 El Mansura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.52
Over
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
44%
2-3
32%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suez EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY El Mansura EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suez
0W-0D-1L
AWAY El Mansura
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.12.2024 El Mansura El Mansura 2-1 HT 1-0 Suez Suez MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suez
1-0
AWAY El Mansura
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Suez vs El Mansura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suez edged past El Mansura 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Suez found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Suez had 45% of the ball to El Mansura's 55%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Suez vs El Mansura?

Suez 1-0 El Mansura in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suez vs El Mansura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suez win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Suez 34%, draw 31%, El Mansura 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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