Valerenga II 1-5 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
64%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.4pp
64%
Away Win
74%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
273 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Valerenga II vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg swept aside Valerenga II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Valerenga II vs Bjarg?

Valerenga II 1-5 Bjarg in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga II vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Valerenga II 20%, draw 16%, Bjarg 64%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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