Ullern vs Baerum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ullern v Baerum — Team-Based Signals
Ullern vs Baerum Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
6-1
HT 3-0
Ullern
NOR3
2-1
HT 2-1
Baerum
NOR3
Ullern 1-2 Baerum — Actual Match Statistics
Baerum edged past Ullern 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ullern had 56% of the ball to Baerum's 44%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Baerum led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ullern and 2.40 for Baerum.
What was the final score of Ullern vs Baerum?
Ullern 1-2 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ullern vs Baerum?
Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ullern 36%, draw 22%, Baerum 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.