Ullern 1-1 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.23
2-3 Goals
31%
2.21
4-5 Goals
36%
2.44
6+ Goals
11%
4.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
17%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.0pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.9pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +79%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
286 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullern
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Baerum
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.06.2024 Baerum Baerum 2-2 HT 1-1 Ullern Ullern NOR4
11.04.2024 Ullern Ullern 0-2 Baerum Baerum NOK
12.08.2023 Baerum Baerum 6-1 HT 3-0 Ullern Ullern NOR3
23.07.2023 Ullern Ullern 2-1 HT 2-1 Baerum Baerum NOR3
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullern and Baerum shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baerum at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baerum led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ullern and 2.75 for Baerum.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Baerum?

Ullern 1-1 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ullern 38%, draw 18%, Baerum 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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