Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Apr 2025

Torpedo Moscow
1-1 HT 1-0
Ural
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Torpedo Moscow vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torpedo Moscow v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Torpedo Moscow vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ural
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 299
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Ural Ural 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
11.03.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
28.09.2022 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUK
11.09.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
23.05.2015 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
16.08.2014 Ural Ural 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS

Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Ural
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow and Ural shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 37% of the ball to Ural's 63%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.00 for Ural.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Ural?

Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 38%, draw 28%, Ural 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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