Ural 1-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 0.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
11.03.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
28.09.2022 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUK
11.09.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
23.05.2015 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
16.08.2014 Ural Ural 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural and Torpedo Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ural at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Ural had 45% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 55%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ural and 1.00 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?

Ural 1-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ural 45%, draw 29%, Torpedo Moscow 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ural), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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