FK Ufa 3-3 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -28%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.86
+7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
313 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 3-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
30.04.2018 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS
21.10.2017 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-2 HT 2-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
3-3
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa and SKA Khabarovsk shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Ufa had 45% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 55%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Ufa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Ufa and 0.67 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs SKA Khabarovsk?

FK Ufa 3-3 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 37%, draw 26%, SKA Khabarovsk 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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