Tyumen 1-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Oct 2024

Tyumen
1-1 HT 1-0
KAMAZ
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.91
-45% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
3W-1D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
13.08.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-1 HT 2-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
21.06.2017 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen HAZ
25.11.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
03.08.2015 Tyumen Tyumen 1-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-1
AWAY KAMAZ
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen and KAMAZ shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Tyumen had 48% of the ball to KAMAZ's 52%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tyumen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Tyumen and 0.60 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs KAMAZ?

Tyumen 1-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 35%, draw 33%, KAMAZ 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tyumen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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