Iğdır FK 4-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.91
Over
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.53
2-3
41%
1.85
4-5
23%
3.54
6+
12%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.87
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
15%
3.92
X/2
7%
12.35
X/X
11%
5.72
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
7%
10.65
2/X
7%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Iğdır FK win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 19%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -6%
1.52/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.68
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.3 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.27 xG 1.18
67% Ball Possession 33%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
532 Passes 206
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
7 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 2-1 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
4-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
3.27 xG 0.88
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
458 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK ran out comfortable winners over Sakaryaspor 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 70% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 30%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 3.27 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Iğdır FK 4-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 58%, draw 22%, Sakaryaspor 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✓ Over 2.5
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