Sakaryaspor 2-1 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.65
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
11%
5.56
X/X
16%
4.46
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.28/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.05
+19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.0 Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-1
AWAY Iğdır FK
1.18 xG 0.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
206 Passes 532
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor nicked a narrow win over Iğdır FK 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Sakaryaspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 33% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 67%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.18 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK?

Sakaryaspor 2-1 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 34%, draw 31%, Iğdır FK 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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