Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
10%
9.15
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
9%
6.87
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.61/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.29
+17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.3 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Boluspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
276 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2020 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
14.12.2019 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2-2
AWAY Boluspor
1.66 xG 1.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
360 Passes 227
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
43 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük and Boluspor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 60% of the ball to Boluspor's 40%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.66 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.50 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor?

Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 50%, draw 25%, Boluspor 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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