Şanlıurfaspor 2-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.39
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 34% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.57
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
6.42
X/2
18%
4.88
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.11
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.36
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.8 Crosses 12.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2021 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
15.12.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-4 HT 0-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
10.03.2019 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
21.10.2018 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-K
14.04.2018 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-4 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
26.11.2017 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2-1
AWAY Pendikspor
0.64 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
419 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor edged past Pendikspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Şanlıurfaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 58% of the ball to Pendikspor's 42%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.64 to 1.46 — on chances, Pendikspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.17 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Pendikspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 2-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 35%, draw 27%, Pendikspor 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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