Portuguesa FC 2-1 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.53
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.1 Crosses 19.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 0.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
294 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
20.03.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
24.06.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
21.05.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
24.07.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
02.05.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
2-1
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.77 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
270 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC squeezed past Metropolitanos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 51% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 49%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.77 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Metropolitanos.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.67 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos?

Portuguesa FC 2-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 42%, draw 25%, Metropolitanos 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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