Oxford United vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Oxford United v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Oxford United vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Oxford United 0-1 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Wrexham edged past Oxford United 1-0 on the road.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Wrexham found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Wrexham saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.28.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Oxford United against 0.67 for Wrexham.
Oxford United vs Wrexham Result & Final Score
Oxford United 0 - 1 Wrexham in the England - Championship on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Oxford United vs Wrexham Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 39%, draw 30%, Wrexham 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oxford United), BTTS Yes went the other way.