Stoke City vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities
Stoke City v Millwall — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stoke City 1-3 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall took care of Stoke City 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Millwall as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Millwall saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.00 to 1.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for Stoke City against 1.00 for Millwall.
Stoke City vs Millwall Result & Final Score
Stoke City 1 - 3 Millwall in the England - Championship on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Stoke City vs Millwall Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 22%, draw 23%, Millwall 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.