Millwall vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Millwall
İNCL
Millwall 1-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall edged past Stoke City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Millwall found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Millwall had 57% of the ball to Stoke City's 43%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millwall and 0.50 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Stoke City?
Millwall 1-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Millwall 40%, draw 29%, Stoke City 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.