Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
11%
4.37
X/2
9%
7.82
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.46
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -5%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.32
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.0 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
432 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.02.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
21.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
27.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 5-2 HT 2-2 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNLK
01.01.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
04.10.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-2
AWAY Cardiff City
0.48 xG 0.82
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
486 Passes 189
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City squeezed past Blackburn Rovers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Blackburn Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 65% of the ball to Cardiff City's 35%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.48 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 0.67 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?

Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 44%, draw 29%, Cardiff City 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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