Queens Park Rangers 2-2 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Mar 2025

Queens Park Rangers
2-2 HT 2-1
Leeds United
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
12.85
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X EV+ ✓
11%
21.3
X/1
11%
14.15
X/2
18%
3.71
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.74
2/X
6%
18.25
Value flag · 1/X at 21.3 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 70%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
0.87/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.81
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +26%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
19.8 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leeds United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.71
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
206 Passes 395
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
26.04.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
04.10.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
18.01.2020 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
02.11.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
26.02.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 2-2 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
2-2
AWAY Leeds United
0.78 xG 1.37
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
162 Passes 387
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 34% of the ball to Leeds United's 66%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.78 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 0.83 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United?

Queens Park Rangers 2-2 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 26%, draw 25%, Leeds United 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
15 Mar 2025
15:30 Millwall vs Stoke City Analysis →
18:00 West Bromwich vs Hull City Analysis →
18:00 Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City Analysis →
18:00 Coventry vs Sunderland Analysis →
18:00 Swansea City vs Burnley Analysis →
18:00 Oxford United vs Watford Analysis →