Swansea City vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Burnley
İNCL
4-0
HT 3-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Swansea City
İNP
3-2
HT 1-1
Burnley
İNP
Swansea City 0-2 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley saw off Swansea City 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Burnley made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Swansea City had 56% of the ball to Burnley's 44%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.51 to 1.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Swansea City and 1.83 for Burnley.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Burnley?
Swansea City 0-2 Burnley in the England - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Burnley?
Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 32%, draw 28%, Burnley 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.