Cardiff City 1-3 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.33
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.93
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.37
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.15/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.24
+2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.9 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.59 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 Passes 419
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
21.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
27.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 5-2 HT 2-2 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNLK
01.01.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
04.10.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
15.01.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-3
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.60 xG 2.43
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 1
493 Passes 283
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 20
47 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers got the better of Cardiff City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cardiff City had 62% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 38%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.60 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cardiff City and 1.33 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Cardiff City 1-3 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 43%, draw 23%, Blackburn Rovers 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cardiff City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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