Portsmouth 3-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.18
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
16%
5.54
X/2
12%
5.11
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.73
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.01/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.12
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
246 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Preston North End
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
29.03.2013 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
15.12.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İN1
09.04.2011 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
21.08.2010 Preston North End Preston North End 1-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
17.02.2008 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
22.03.2003 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
3-1
AWAY Preston North End
2.21 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
174 Passes 281
60% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth beat Preston North End 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 42% of the ball to Preston North End's 58%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.21 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portsmouth and 0.67 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Preston North End?

Portsmouth 3-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 40%, draw 25%, Preston North End 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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