Stoke City 1-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.68
X/2
9%
6.06
X/X
17%
3.98
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.26/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.21
-23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.2 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millwall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
26.08.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
25.02.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
30.07.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
19.03.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 2-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
23.10.2021 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-1
AWAY Millwall
0.74 xG 1.83
72% Ball Possession 28%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
486 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City and Millwall shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Stoke City had 72% of the ball to Millwall's 28%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.74 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stoke City and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Millwall?

Stoke City 1-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 40%, draw 31%, Millwall 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stoke City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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