Norwich City 0-2 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.01
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
10%
4.89
X/2
8%
6.76
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.78
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.63/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.41
+26% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.8 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bristol City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
397 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
03.12.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.08.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNLK
11.02.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
14.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-2 HT 2-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.01.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
0-2
AWAY Bristol City
0.37 xG 0.88
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
505 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City beat Norwich City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norwich City had 66% of the ball to Bristol City's 34%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.37 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norwich City and 0.83 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Bristol City?

Norwich City 0-2 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 43%, draw 26%, Bristol City 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City)
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