Norwich City 1-1 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.18
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
25%
3.93
X/2
9%
9.73
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
8%
7.68
2/X
9%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.60/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.45
+0% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.9 Crosses 15.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Bristol City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
394 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
29.08.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNLK
11.02.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
14.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-2 HT 2-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.01.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
31.10.2020 Bristol City Bristol City 1-3 HT 1-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-1
AWAY Bristol City
1.33 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
449 Passes 470
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City and Bristol City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Norwich City had 49% of the ball to Bristol City's 51%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.33 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Norwich City and 0.83 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Bristol City?

Norwich City 1-1 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 50%, draw 24%, Bristol City 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Norwich City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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