Leicester City 2-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
15%
3.66
X/2
8%
11.45
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
6%
9.43
2/X
8%
17.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.85/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.58
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -18%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.2 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY West Bromwich
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
463 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-2 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
22.04.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 3-0 HT 3-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
13.09.2020 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-3 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
10.03.2018 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-4 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
16.10.2017 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
19.07.2017 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
2-1
AWAY West Bromwich
2.60 xG 2.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
394 Passes 440
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City squeezed past West Bromwich 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Leicester City had 47% of the ball to West Bromwich's 53%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.60 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leicester City and 0.67 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs West Bromwich?

Leicester City 2-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 53%, draw 24%, West Bromwich 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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