Cardiff City vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-4
HT 0-1
Southampton
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNP
0-3
HT 0-3
Southampton
İNP
Cardiff City 2-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City edged past Southampton 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Southampton at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cardiff City had 38% of the ball to Southampton's 62%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.78 to 2.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cardiff City and 1.67 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Southampton?
Cardiff City 2-1 Southampton in the England - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 17%, draw 20%, Southampton 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Southampton), BTTS No went the other way.