Sunderland vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Millwall — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sunderland
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNCL
3-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Sunderland
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-2
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 2-0
Sunderland
İNCL
Sunderland 0-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall squeezed past Sunderland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Millwall made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Sunderland had 68% of the ball to Millwall's 32%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 0.83 to 0.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sunderland.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunderland and 1.17 for Millwall.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Millwall?
Sunderland 0-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Millwall?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 38%, draw 28%, Millwall 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.