Stoke City 3-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 28% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
8%
4.29
X/2
8%
9.56
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
16%
6.87
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
25.2 Crosses 10.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.24 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 Passes 403
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.12.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
22.09.2007 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
03.03.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
26.08.2006 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
14.02.2006 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
3-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.93 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
287 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City swept aside Plymouth Argyle 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Stoke City had 52% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 48%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.93 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stoke City and 1.33 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Stoke City 3-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 44%, draw 25%, Plymouth Argyle 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
20 Apr 2024
14:30 Leicester City vs West Bromwich Analysis →
17:00 Sunderland vs Millwall Analysis →
17:00 Norwich City vs Bristol City Analysis →
17:00 Watford vs Hull City Analysis →
17:00 Huddersfield Town vs Swansea City Analysis →
17:00 Cardiff City vs Southampton Analysis →