Sunderland 2-2 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.99
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.77
X/2
7%
6.89
X/X
11%
4.25
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.06
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 4.77 — our 22% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.36/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.19
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
15.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Coventry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 0-3 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
26.08.2023 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
25.02.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-1 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
31.07.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
01.03.2020 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İN1
23.11.2019 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
2-2
AWAY Coventry
0.66 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
342 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland and Coventry couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sunderland had 48% of the ball to Coventry's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.66 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sunderland and 1.33 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Coventry?

Sunderland 2-2 Coventry in the England - Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 45%, draw 26%, Coventry 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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