Millwall vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Millwall 2-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall saw off Stoke City 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Millwall made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Millwall had 41% of the ball to Stoke City's 59%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.48 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 0.17 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Stoke City?
Millwall 2-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Millwall 39%, draw 29%, Stoke City 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.