Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Oct 2025

Preston North End
0-1 HT 0-1
Birmingham
📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Preston North End vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.99
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.42
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
15%
5.73
X/2
10%
5.23
X/X
19%
3.73
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
13%
3.84
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.02
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.5 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Preston North End vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Birmingham
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.63 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 250
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
19.09.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
21.01.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 0-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
03.09.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
15.01.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
25.09.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
0-1
AWAY Birmingham
1.38 xG 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
373 Passes 211
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 13
46 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham edged past Preston North End 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Birmingham found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Preston North End had 62% of the ball to Birmingham's 38%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.38 to 0.83 — on chances, Preston North End could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Preston North End and 0.83 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Birmingham?

Preston North End 0-1 Birmingham in the England - Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 36%, draw 32%, Birmingham 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Preston North End) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5
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