Hull City 2-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.12
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
10%
7.02
X/2
15%
4.85
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.9
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.21/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.45
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.7 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leicester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Hull City Hull City 2-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
02.09.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
20.07.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-4 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ
04.03.2017 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNP
13.08.2016 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
27.10.2015 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.50 xG 1.48
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
247 Passes 490
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City squeezed past Leicester City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hull City had 36% of the ball to Leicester City's 64%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.50 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hull City and 1.67 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Leicester City?

Hull City 2-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hull City 31%, draw 24%, Leicester City 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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