Ipswich Town 0-3 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.06
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
20%
4.0
X/2
6%
10.6
X/X
9%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
9%
9.07
2/X
6%
17.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
2.17/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.39
+55% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.8 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.90 xG 1.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 249
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2025 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic HAZ
15.04.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 6-0 HT 2-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
29.10.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-4 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
30.04.2022 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
07.12.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
17.04.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
0-3
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.31 xG 1.76
68% Ball Possession 32%
31 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
16 Corners 3
379 Passes 147
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
42 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic swept aside Ipswich Town 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ipswich Town at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 68% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 32%, shots finished 31-15, expected goals 2.31 to 1.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ipswich Town.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.17 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Ipswich Town 0-3 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 59%, draw 22%, Charlton Athletic 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ipswich Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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