Hull City 2-2 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
6.86
X/2
9%
4.82
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
26%
2.92
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.26/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.11
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.0 Crosses 9.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leicester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
379 Passes 370
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
20.07.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-4 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City HAZ
04.03.2017 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNP
13.08.2016 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
27.10.2015 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
14.03.2015 Leicester City Leicester City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-2
AWAY Leicester City
1.20 xG 2.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
400 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City and Leicester City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hull City had 51% of the ball to Leicester City's 49%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.20 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hull City and 1.33 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Leicester City?

Hull City 2-2 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hull City 30%, draw 25%, Leicester City 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
9 Mar 2024
15:30 Cardiff City vs Ipswich Town Analysis →
18:00 Blackburn Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Millwall vs Birmingham Analysis →
18:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Stoke City Analysis →
18:00 Watford vs Coventry Analysis →